Shipping 2020 DNV

http://www.dnv.nl/binaries/shipping%202020%20-%20final%20report_tcm141-530559.pdf

Executive summary
Based on trends in the world economy and transport demand, marine regulations and technology, we  have described four possible development paths as we move towards 2020, Scenarios A to D. These  scenarios give input to a simulation model developed to assess likely technology investment in the world
fleet from 2012 to 2020.